Fareed Zakaria

Let me just say this upfront.

Predicting the future is hard.

We once made an episode called The Folly of Prediction, episode number 41, if you wanna hunt it down.

The findings were clear.

Most of us are much worse than we think at making predictions, and we're also much more confident than we ought to be.

But that doesn't stop us from trying.

Look at the huge success of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.

We are always dying to know what might happen next.

I am not immune from this desire.

You probably aren't either.

One particular temptation is geopolitics.

It is so complex and dynamic and important that it's hard to hold yourself back, even if you know that your prediction is at best an educated guess.

So you might as well get your geopolitical predictions from someone who is extremely educated in these matters.

Someone like this.

Fareed Zakaria.

I work at CNN and write a column for The Washington Post and write books.

Zakaria is a foreign policy stud, a political scientist by training, a journalist by vocation and longtime member of the Council on Foreign Relations, which is why we are having him on the show today for a third time.

His last appearance was just after Donald Trump had been reelected to the presidency, but before Trump took office.

You did make some predictions last time you came on the show.

Uh-oh.