Fionnán Sheahan

You're a dead man walking.

You're a dead man walking.

Yeah, it looks like there's kind of three really in the running.

We had said before there might be five.

So the headline, I suppose, is that Sean Cain, Vinny Gale is out in front on 17.

He's got about 15% of second preference votes as well.

But it's a very narrow lead over Noel Thomas from independent Ireland.

He's on 16%.

Again, as expected, that Noel Thomas would be figuring... Yeah, well, I mean, like, we kind of would have said, put him favoured, even above Sean Kine before this poll came out.

And then, interestingly, leading, I suppose, the left field is Helen Ogbu, the Labour candidate.

She's on 12% and she's getting about 11%.

Look, I think...

On top of the good news for Fine Gael from this poll, it's obviously very bad news for Sinn Féin and Fianna Fáil.

Mark Lohan, the Sinn Féin candidate, is only on 7%, 9% second preference vote.

And Cillian Keane, the young 25-year-old Fianna Fáil councillor, is 8% and 9% second preference vote.

So where those left votes go is going to be interesting to watch.

The Connolly candidate was always a bit of a misnomer when you think about it, because the Connolly was when the left parties coalesced around one candidate.

Locally, sure, yeah.

But the assumption might be that she would pick up votes elsewhere.

That clearly isn't the case in Helen Ogbu.