Friedberg

No way.

Are you not going to Mar-a-Lago, Saks?

Are you not going to Mar-a-Lago, Saks?

Yeah. Okay, so you're maybe. Let's not commit sex. You're maybe. If you go to Mar-a-Lago, you're excused.

Yeah. Okay, so you're maybe. Let's not commit sex. You're maybe. If you go to Mar-a-Lago, you're excused.

Oh, that would be amazing. Absolutely.

Oh, that would be amazing. Absolutely.

Do you guys think polymarket is like, why do you think it's different from the polls? Are we talking about this today? Polymarket's showing like 60, 40 or 65, 35 now, right? Yeah, because they're measuring different things.

Do you guys think polymarket is like, why do you think it's different from the polls? Are we talking about this today? Polymarket's showing like 60, 40 or 65, 35 now, right? Yeah, because they're measuring different things.

But let me ask you this. So Nate Silver's model, which takes the poll from each state and builds in a kind of a Monte Carlo of super poll, like a super model for the whole country. Why is his estimate 50-50 right now while the poly market is betting at 60-40?

But let me ask you this. So Nate Silver's model, which takes the poll from each state and builds in a kind of a Monte Carlo of super poll, like a super model for the whole country. Why is his estimate 50-50 right now while the poly market is betting at 60-40?

How do you think they're going to change after the interviews the last couple of days? Trump on Bloomberg and Kamala on Fox. Do you think those are going to change anything? I don't think so. I think it's all baked in now.

How do you think they're going to change after the interviews the last couple of days? Trump on Bloomberg and Kamala on Fox. Do you think those are going to change anything? I don't think so. I think it's all baked in now.

Well, let me ask you this. So my observation as, I don't know, I'm not like a super political person or whatever, a party-oriented person. I looked at a lot of the media on both sides, and it seems like everyone on the left says Kamala did an amazing job on Fox. She defended herself. She showed her skills and her competency. And then everyone on the right is like she embarrassed herself.

Well, let me ask you this. So my observation as, I don't know, I'm not like a super political person or whatever, a party-oriented person. I looked at a lot of the media on both sides, and it seems like everyone on the left says Kamala did an amazing job on Fox. She defended herself. She showed her skills and her competency. And then everyone on the right is like she embarrassed herself.

She fell apart. And then the same thing happened with the Trump interview on Bloomberg. People are like, On the left, they say, look at how he couldn't handle the interviewer and he fell apart and all his lies were exposed. And everyone on the right's like, look at him, he got a standing ovation.

She fell apart. And then the same thing happened with the Trump interview on Bloomberg. People are like, On the left, they say, look at how he couldn't handle the interviewer and he fell apart and all his lies were exposed. And everyone on the right's like, look at him, he got a standing ovation.

It's almost like everyone's just kind of like self-asserting their beliefs that they already hold when they judge these people on these interview shows at this point. Is it already baked at this point? Like, is anyone actually going to change their view? based on these interviews happening?

It's almost like everyone's just kind of like self-asserting their beliefs that they already hold when they judge these people on these interview shows at this point. Is it already baked at this point? Like, is anyone actually going to change their view? based on these interviews happening?

Yeah.