Garrison Davis

interceptor missile stockpiles or our supply of stuff like Patriot missiles.

But we do have a pretty good understanding of how badly our regional allies have depleted their stockpiles of these defensive tools.

Bahrain is estimated to have expended 87% of their Patriot missiles.

The UAE and Kuwait are up to 75%.

And Qatar is at like 40%.

Experts estimate that Iran has gone through or lost via airstrike roughly a third of their ballistic missile stockpile.

This may or may not be accurate.

And if it's inaccurate, it may or may not be inaccurate in either direction.

Our intel and Israel's intel is often very spotty when it comes to stuff like this.

A good illustration of this would be the fact that on March 20th, Iran fired two ICBMs at Diego Garcia, an island in the Indian Ocean that hosts a joint US-UK air and naval base.

Neither missile did any damage, but that wasn't really the point.

The launch of these missiles was a message from the Iranian regime to the US one.

Previously, Iran had limited itself to only striking targets within 1,240 miles of its own borders with ballistic missiles.

Diego Garcia is roughly 2,300 miles away.

Many U.S.

analysts had treated for years 1,240 miles as if it represented an actual hard limit on Iran's striking capability based on what their missiles could reach, as opposed to what it really was, which is a political decision made by Iranian leaders to limit the scope of conflicts.

When the Trump administration launched an unprovoked series of joint strikes on Iran, killing the Supreme Leader and many senior officials, we violated one of the unstated agreements that had held for over decades of conflict.

The president's supporters and major hawks on Iran argued that these self-imposed limits were allowing Iran's leadership to support terrorism abroad with impunity.

The strike on Diego Garcia proved that military analysts had been wrong about the top range of Iran's best ballistic missiles, but it also served as a statement from Iran's new leaders.

You've taken the gloves off and thrown out the rule book.