Garrison Davis
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
These are our absolute best, most effective anti-missile defense systems.
Each battery costs more than a billion dollars, and each missile they fire costs like $12.6 million.
These are part of why you don't have healthcare.
Now, we know another series of strikes in the UAE, quote, hit buildings housing similar radar systems to the THAAD battery in Jordan.
It's unclear if these were damaged or how badly they might have been damaged.
And it's going to remain unclear because the workings of these systems are extremely classified.
As of 2025, the United States owns and operates a grand total of eight THAAD batteries.
So at least one of eight is now out of commission, and two more may have suffered some degree of damage a month into this conflict.
That is not the kind of attrition you want to see prior to actually putting boots on the ground.
military spokespeople will point out whenever asked that the vast majority of Iranian missiles and drones are being intercepted and that Iran is currently firing few of these munitions than they did at the outbreak of hostilities.
And what you're supposed to conclude from that is that they're running out because we are doing a better job of attriting them than they are doing of attriting us.
I can't tell you who's actually coming off worse in this fight.
I certainly don't have good insight into the levels of Iran's stockpiles of the weapons systems that they're using.
However, there is reason to doubt that the United States is coming off the better in this conflict.
Ari Cicerell is an analyst for the Jewish Institute for National Security of America, or JINSA, and he told Fox News, quote, Overall, high missile and drone interception rates have been important, but only tell part of the story.
Iran came into this war with a deliberate plan to dismantle the architecture that makes those strikes possible.
It has struck energy infrastructure to upset markets and used cluster munitions to achieve higher hit rates.
Because we simply lack good data on this stuff, I can't tell you perfectly how our rate of interceptions has changed from day one to day 30, but there is evidence in a few different places that in late March, the rate of successful drone attacks on our regional allies like the UAE increased.