Geoffrey Hinton

And we should be putting a lot of research effort into that.

Because if we can coexist happily with it, and we can solve all the social problems that will arise when it makes all our jobs much easier, then it can be a wonderful thing for people.

Yes.

I don't know the answer to either of those questions.

My suspicion is AI will get better at us in the end at everything, better than us at everything, but it'll be sort of one thing at a time.

It's currently much better than us at chess and Go.

It's much better than us at knowing a lot of things, not quite as good as us at reasoning.

I think rather than sort of massively overtaking us in everything all at once, it'll be done one area at a time.

I think it will.

But that's the answer you got.

Let me give you an example.

AI is very good at analogies already.

So when chat GPT-4 was not allowed to look on the web, when all its knowledge was in its weights, I asked it, why is a compost heap like an atom bomb?

And it knew.

It said the energy scales are very different and the time scales are very different.

But it then went on to talk about how when a compost heap gets hotter, it generates heat faster.

And when an atom bomb generates more neutrons, it generates neutrons faster.

So it understood the commonality.

And it had to understand that to pack all that knowledge into so few connections, only a trillion or so.

That's the source of much creativity.