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Gil Luria

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
94 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

It's all of the above.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

They're selling double digits more ads for double digits higher prices.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

And to be fair to them in terms of AI investment, it's because they're so good at AI.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

Our algorithms for feeding for our feed are getting so much better.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

And the algorithms for predicting what ads we're going to click on are so much better.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

that they can drive that kind of remarkable growth.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

Again, that doesn't mean they need 125 billion of CapEx to do that.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

They only need a fraction of that.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

But they are getting so good at using AI to make our feeds more compelling, more organic content, more original content, more domestic content, more content that we find compelling, that it's helping them sell a lot more ads for a lot higher prices.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

It's usually traded between 25 and 35 times forward PE.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

Right now, as of after the market, it's around 26 times.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

So on the lower end,

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

Meta tends to trade at the low 20s, which is where it's at right now.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

But what's interesting to know is that Google is trading in the high 20s on PE, where their historical range is more in the low 20s.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

And that's in spite of the two things that I pointed out.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

Microsoft Azure growing faster than Google Cloud, Meta Ads growing faster than Google Ads.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

So Google is trading at a premium to these two other businesses that are growing faster.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

That's all narrative.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

That's all this belief that Google has already won AI, the game's over, and Google is the only winner.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

As you can tell from my tone, I'm a little skeptical of that.