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Gil Luria

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
94 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

I think Google's a winner, but it's probably not the winner.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

And therefore, Meta and Microsoft should be able to outperform this year as the market rebalances its perspective on who's winning and who's not winning.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

So right now the vibes for Google are the best and the vibes for Microsoft and Nvidia are the worst.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

And I would argue that Microsoft and Nvidia are going to do better this year than Google in terms of results.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

Because you mentioned that huge shift.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

Google is trading at 18 times forward earnings just a few months ago.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

Now it's trading at closer to 28 times earnings.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

You know that their estimates haven't moved.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

So it's all multiple.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

It's not that the projections for the business have changed at all.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

Just narrative, just based on people getting excited about Gemini.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

So Google is very much in favor, Microsoft and NVIDIA very much not in favor.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

But if you ask me who's going to actually grow the AI, get more of the profit dollars generated by AI this year, it's going to be first and foremost NVIDIA, as it always has been.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

And then it's going to be Microsoft.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

Yeah, no, it's all we think about.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

And where we land is AI is going to have a tremendous impact.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

We're still going to invest a lot.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

Everybody's going to use AI more for more things, both as consumers, as employees.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

That's going to drive a lot more data center build-out.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

That's not a bubble.