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Gordon Chang

👤 Speaker
978 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

That's true, but I think that it sort of creates an impression maybe a bit larger than it needs to be, because there are tens of thousands of these small factories. So if they lose the thousand or two, it is not something which is going to threaten the security of the regime.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

That's true, but I think that it sort of creates an impression maybe a bit larger than it needs to be, because there are tens of thousands of these small factories. So if they lose the thousand or two, it is not something which is going to threaten the security of the regime.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

That's true, but I think that it sort of creates an impression maybe a bit larger than it needs to be, because there are tens of thousands of these small factories. So if they lose the thousand or two, it is not something which is going to threaten the security of the regime.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

The one thing about protests that we need to keep our eye on is that in the last few hours we've been hearing that in Shenzhen, which is the city across from Hong Kong, there was a protest in front of a bank. And that means, I think, to work back. We know that China's small loans and business loans are in trouble. They've been defaulting at an alarming rate.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

The one thing about protests that we need to keep our eye on is that in the last few hours we've been hearing that in Shenzhen, which is the city across from Hong Kong, there was a protest in front of a bank. And that means, I think, to work back. We know that China's small loans and business loans are in trouble. They've been defaulting at an alarming rate.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

The one thing about protests that we need to keep our eye on is that in the last few hours we've been hearing that in Shenzhen, which is the city across from Hong Kong, there was a protest in front of a bank. And that means, I think, to work back. We know that China's small loans and business loans are in trouble. They've been defaulting at an alarming rate.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

That means probably some of the smaller banks and financial institutions are having problems with liquidity. which means they're probably restricting withdrawals. That would account for the protests in front of the banks. There are also reports, which I think are more speculative, that there are bank protests in Shanghai and Beijing.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

That means probably some of the smaller banks and financial institutions are having problems with liquidity. which means they're probably restricting withdrawals. That would account for the protests in front of the banks. There are also reports, which I think are more speculative, that there are bank protests in Shanghai and Beijing.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

That means probably some of the smaller banks and financial institutions are having problems with liquidity. which means they're probably restricting withdrawals. That would account for the protests in front of the banks. There are also reports, which I think are more speculative, that there are bank protests in Shanghai and Beijing.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

I'm not sure I believe that, but the point is that those are the rumors that are now circulating. They come from manufacturing sources, which I think Normalerweise sind sie ziemlich gut berühmt, ziemlich akkurat. Wir bekommen also eine Bildung, dass nicht nur die Proteste verbreiten, sondern auch generell, jetzt geht es zum Banksystem.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

I'm not sure I believe that, but the point is that those are the rumors that are now circulating. They come from manufacturing sources, which I think Normalerweise sind sie ziemlich gut berühmt, ziemlich akkurat. Wir bekommen also eine Bildung, dass nicht nur die Proteste verbreiten, sondern auch generell, jetzt geht es zum Banksystem.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

I'm not sure I believe that, but the point is that those are the rumors that are now circulating. They come from manufacturing sources, which I think Normalerweise sind sie ziemlich gut berühmt, ziemlich akkurat. Wir bekommen also eine Bildung, dass nicht nur die Proteste verbreiten, sondern auch generell, jetzt geht es zum Banksystem.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

Das kann für China kritisch werden, wenn der Zentralbank die kleineren Institutionen mit Liquidität nicht zerstört. Es gibt Restriktionen, was der Zentralbank tun kann. Das wird also die Herausforderung sein.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

Das kann für China kritisch werden, wenn der Zentralbank die kleineren Institutionen mit Liquidität nicht zerstört. Es gibt Restriktionen, was der Zentralbank tun kann. Das wird also die Herausforderung sein.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

Das kann für China kritisch werden, wenn der Zentralbank die kleineren Institutionen mit Liquidität nicht zerstört. Es gibt Restriktionen, was der Zentralbank tun kann. Das wird also die Herausforderung sein.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

Yeah, that number comes from US investment banks and some foreign investment banks are releasing numbers in that range. You hear 16, you hear 20 million. This is a number which sounds precise, but I'm not so sure. And the reason is, it all depends on how the tariff war goes. So, if the tariff war goes really badly for China, we're talking well in excess of 20 million jobs.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

Yeah, that number comes from US investment banks and some foreign investment banks are releasing numbers in that range. You hear 16, you hear 20 million. This is a number which sounds precise, but I'm not so sure. And the reason is, it all depends on how the tariff war goes. So, if the tariff war goes really badly for China, we're talking well in excess of 20 million jobs.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

Yeah, that number comes from US investment banks and some foreign investment banks are releasing numbers in that range. You hear 16, you hear 20 million. This is a number which sounds precise, but I'm not so sure. And the reason is, it all depends on how the tariff war goes. So, if the tariff war goes really badly for China, we're talking well in excess of 20 million jobs.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

If Trump caves in, then that number is really exaggerated. So, we'll find out. And by the way, I don't think Trump will cave, but I do believe that his general instinct to make a deal can sometimes push him into things that are not as advantageous for us as Remember, we've got all the high cards here right now. We're the trade deficit country. We're the bigger economy.

The President's Daily Brief
PDB Situation Report | May 10th, 2025: Xi’s Weak Hand: U.S.-China Showdown & India And Pakistan On The Brink

If Trump caves in, then that number is really exaggerated. So, we'll find out. And by the way, I don't think Trump will cave, but I do believe that his general instinct to make a deal can sometimes push him into things that are not as advantageous for us as Remember, we've got all the high cards here right now. We're the trade deficit country. We're the bigger economy.