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Graeme Wood

πŸ‘€ Speaker
263 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

exactly how much damage was done to Qatar's gas infrastructure, exactly how much damage is likely to be done if there's an escalation of the war to Saudi Arabia, to Kuwait, and so forth.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

So these become more real as the war fails to find a resolution.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

I mean, I've been reporting for the last week or so about exactly what a hard hit to that energy infrastructure of Saudi Arabia and Qatar would look like.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

And there are particular nodes where if you hit them, it takes years to recover.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

And taking that much oil and gas offline, it's almost impossible to overstate how serious a blow that is to the world's economy.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

So

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

Iran has demonstrated very clearly that if it wants to hit an area that is, you know, 10 meters by 10 meters on an American airbase in Saudi Arabia, it can do that.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

So if they want to do the same thing on an oil field, which cannot fly away, cannot have a hardened shelter built over it, then why couldn't they do that too?

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

This is, I think, totally within their capability.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

Yeah, that's right.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

And probably the most clear illustration so far of the failure of the United States to prepare for a very predictable threat, which is a drone attack of the sort that Ukraine and Russia has been perfecting for years now.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

So if they can do that to one of the most valuable air assets the United States has, then they can do it to a piece of refinery equipment that's

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

you know, been sitting out under open skies for years.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

And those things, again, can take years to replace.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

Yeah, you know, in some way, China already is a protector.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

And let me explain that.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

A huge percentage of that oil that exits Saudi Arabia is going to China.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

So if Iran were to destroy that hydrocarbon infrastructure of the Arab states, then China would be hurt.

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

So if China wants to say, and I would say if I were China, don't do that, don't do anything irreversible to that oil infrastructure, then

The David Frum Show
Watching War From the Strait of Hormuz

then Iran would probably have to listen because China is one of the few remaining friends that it has.