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Graham Stephan

👤 Speaker
3841 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

Most of them had these toxic two-year balloons.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

So what happened in that cycle is in 2008, mortgage payments tripled.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

tripled.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

So they became forced sellers.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

And oh, by the way, if you want to talk economics, their shelter cost was $1,000 for two years.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

Then it was $3,000 for the next 28.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

But rent was $1,700.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

So for the first two years, they were net positive.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

After year two and the rate shot up, because this is a teaser rate, they were upside down.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

And that's why everybody stopped paying.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

They had jingle mail and people just started sending them in.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

So motivated sellers.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

But now ask yourself.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

What was it like in 24, 22?

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

We had over 95% of loans fixed.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

That is magic.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

People don't understand why this K-shaped economy is happening.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

We have 60 some odd percent of people with shelter costs that is artificially low.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

Artificially, they lucked out with 2% mortgages and 3% mortgages.

The Iced Coffee Hour
This ALWAYS Happens Before A Housing Market Crash… | Michael Zuber

Now guess what?