Gregg Carlstrom

Well, the American story here is twofold.

It seems like two things happened overnight on Monday into Tuesday.

One is that Iran seems to have turned on some of its air defense systems near the city of Bandar Abbas, the main port city in southern Iran.

The Americans would have seen that.

They would have seen the Iranian air defense radars essentially lighting up, and they might have thought that

Iran was attempting to shoot down either American drones or American warplanes, and so they carried out strikes on these air defenses.

They're also saying that small Iranian naval ships were attempting to go out into the Strait of Hormuz and lay mines in the strait.

We don't have any confirmation, of course, that either of those things are

Accurate.

Iran has laid mines in the Strait before, so it's not entirely implausible.

But either way, the Americans carried out these strikes.

The Iranians are accusing them of a violation of the ceasefire.

But we saw Iran a few weeks ago carry out missile and drone strikes on the UAE and other countries in the Gulf.

They don't want to resume the war in full force, but they think there is still some, I think, utility in carrying out these sorts of attacks.

I don't think the truce is about to collapse.

It's not the first time that one or the other party has violated the ceasefire, but it's a reminder of how fragile this all is.

I think both sides went into these negotiations two months ago, assuming that the other one was negotiating in bad faith.

I mean, that's certainly the Iranian perspective, right?

They feel as if they've tried talking twice before with the Americans in spring of last year and then winter of this year.

And both times those talks ended not just in failure, but with Iran being attacked by Israel last summer and then by America and Israel.