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Gwern Branwen

๐Ÿ‘ค Person
855 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

Yeah, I think at this point it mostly is just money that's stopping me.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

I probably should bite the bullet and just move anyway.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

But I'm a miser at heart, and I hate thinking of how many months of writing runway I'd have to give up for each month in San Francisco.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

If someone wanted to give me, I don't know, 50K to 100K a year to move to SF and continue writing full-time like I do now, I'd take it in a heartbeat.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

Until then, I'm still trying to psych myself up into a move.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

I'm going to say that if you exclude capability from that, AI models are already much more diverse cognitively than humans are.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

I think different LLMs think in very distinct ways that you can tell right away from a sample of them.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

So an LLM operates nothing like a GAN.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

A GAN also is totally different from VAEs.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

They have totally different latent spaces, especially in the lower end where they're small or bad models.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

They have wildly different artifacts and errors in a way that we just wouldn't see with humans.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

I think humans are really very quite similar in writing and attitude compared to these absurd outputs of different kinds of models.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

Really?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

Yeah, but I mean, this is all very heavily tuned, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

So now you're restricting it to relatively recent LLMs with everyone riding on each other's coattails, not training on the exact same data.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

So I think this is a situation like much closer to if they were identical twins.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

If I'm, you know, I'm not restricting myself to just LLMs and I compare the wide diversity of say like image generation models that we've had, they often have totally different ways, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

Some of them seem as similar to each other as ants do to beavers.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

I think within LLMs, I would agree that there has been a massive loss of diversity.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

Things used to be way more diverse within like among LLMs.