Harry Stebbings
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Appearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
So I look at it and I go, oh my God, it's roughly 20%.
So I look at it and I go, oh my God, it's roughly 20%.
If you wanted to buy it at the money put, it's going to be, based on the estimates yesterday, and I haven't seen the updates today, stocks just, auctions just started trading, 20% of the share price.
If you wanted to buy it at the money put, it's going to be, based on the estimates yesterday, and I haven't seen the updates today, stocks just, auctions just started trading, 20% of the share price.
So if the share price is at $200, it would be $40 just to buy the right to sell the stock back at par, which means if it goes down to $160, you want to break even.
So if the share price is at $200, it would be $40 just to buy the right to sell the stock back at par, which means if it goes down to $160, you want to break even.
So you've got to get right down to $120 to make a 2X.
So you've got to get right down to $120 to make a 2X.
And that's a 2X on a security where you could lose all your money.
And that's a 2X on a security where you could lose all your money.
So I'm looking at it and going, I might have these opinions about the SpaceX price going down.
So I'm looking at it and going, I might have these opinions about the SpaceX price going down.
Do I have the nuts to put a million bucks on the line and say, I believe it's going down and buy those options?
Do I have the nuts to put a million bucks on the line and say, I believe it's going down and buy those options?
Decided I didn't have that just yet.
Decided I didn't have that just yet.
For a price equal to one third of the variability of stock between yesterday and today.
For a price equal to one third of the variability of stock between yesterday and today.
Exactly.
Exactly.