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Houze Song

👤 Speaker
58 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

I don't see there's a fundamental tension between pursuing both initiatives, that they can, on the one hand, just...

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

For example, either through providing more income transfer to the household or other means to boost the overall economic growth as well as job creation.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

And on the other hand, they can continue to fund those manufacturing initiatives.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

There's really no fundamental tension between those two initiatives.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

So the surprise is really not that they are doubling down on manufacturing.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

The surprise seems to most people, myself included, is that they continue to be very reluctant

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

to really to stimulate the economy, to reflate the Chinese economy.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

I would say in terms of investment implications, one is really the, I would say the most clear implication is the relevance for the Chinese equities.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

Basically, since late 24, that Chinese equities has enjoyed pretty solid rally that the equal weighted A shares has been basically up by close to 50% since late 24.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

And in the meantime, the curious thing is that the fundamentals of corporate earnings has not improved much.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

So as a result, basically what suggests the much more expensive valuation, the PE ratio of Chinese equity indicates that investors have taken a categorically more optimistic view about the Chinese equity.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

the outlook of the Chinese economic future.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

I think, but the next step question is really that whether the coming year, the Chinese economy performance can validate or disprove this, the current quite optimistic expectation investors already press in.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

Here I see really kind of like risk or tensions between the fact that on the one hand, the Chinese government continue to be very reluctant

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

to stimulate the economy.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

And on the other hand, the Chinese equity is being at a really historically high valuation level.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

My pleasure.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Inside Xi’s Shocking Military Purge

Thank you.

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