Howard Marks
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
You know, this points out a dichotomy in investing or maybe a conundrum.
Of which there are so many.
Because what we just talked about was it's important to stick to your last and do what you're good at and fits with you.
But it's also essential to be open-minded and willing to change.
I'm getting whiplash.
But look, to be a good investor, you have to be confident because you have to back things that are iffy and stay with them if they go bad.
And if you're in the public securities market, you have to maybe buy more of them when they decline.
but not so confident that you're pigheaded and keep throwing bad money after good.
You have to concentrate your holdings enough so that the few good ideas you get in your lifetime really make a big difference, but you have to diversify to protect against the unforeseen.
So this is really the nub of it.
It's such a fascinating field because in my opinion,
the things we're talking about can't be reduced to an algorithm.
And this is where our humanity pays off because Andrew talks about making better qualitative judgments about the future.
I like to believe that computers will not be doing that well for some time so that we'll still have some scope for success.
Well, but we need to have some competitive advantages left, you know.
But I think it comes from qualitative and future.
I always say that I don't think that a computer can sit down with five business plans and figure out which one is Amazon in advance or meet five CEOs and know which one is Steve Jobs.