Ian Bremmer
đ€ PersonAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Joten he antoivat kirjan, jonka katolaiset kÀsitteleivÀt Kutteriin, Netanyahuun, Trumpin puolelle, kÀsittelemÀÀn. Ja toivottavasti johtajana katolaisprime ministeri oli Oval-alueella katsojana BB tekemÀssÀ sitÀ, kun hÀn teki sen.
That's a humiliation for the Israeli prime minister. It said, you thought you had sovereignty in making that attack against Hamas political leadership in Qatar. I'm saying you don't.
You now promise that you won't do it again. You're sorry that you did it. And there's an executive order from Trump, unprecedented, providing for economic, diplomatic and, if necessary, military American support to defend Qatar in the event of an attack, any attack.
Se, mitÀ nÀemme, on se, ettÀ Trump on laittanut suuret vaikutukset Bibiin ja Israelin vastaan, jotka voidaan sanoa ovat itse asiassa vÀhentÀneet Israelin virallisuutta.
I mean, look, in an America first world where the United States is still providing enormous intelligence to Israel and vice versa, the US is spending billions of dollars on Israel's defense capabilities, not vice versa, providing a lot of technology to the Israelis to help defend them, and the US is not doing that to that extent with any other country around the world, then clearly the US has an enormous amount of leverage.
ja Trump nÀyttÀÀ, ettÀ hÀn laajentaa sitÀ. Viimeinen asia, Helen. On mahdollisuus muiden maiden kanssa liittyÀ enemmÀn tuotantoon. Olemme nÀhneet puheenvuoroa israelilaisista Euroopan Eurovision-kontestista. Euroopan ja maiden sanoen, ettÀ he olisivat poikattaneet, jos se ei tapahtunut. Olemme nÀhneet puheenvuoroa Israelista Euroopan ja FIFA-kontestista.
I've spoken with many European leaders with talk of sanctions, talk of refusing to allow Israeli citizens visas, all sorts of things that would feel to Israeli citizens like isolation. It would feel to Israelis that their prime minister was leading them down a path of Israel being treated the way the Europeans treated South Africa during apartheid.
And that could easily lead to Netanyahu being voted out. But the reality is that this peace plan, which Israel has now accepted, takes a significant amount of that pressure off.
And if Hamas goes ahead and accepts that outcome, then Israel can be back, I wouldn't say in the good graces of the Europeans, but it would certainly be more normalized and more stable. And if Hamas refuses
to accept these terms, then Hamas is going to bear the blame for the deal falling apart. So I think that the consequences clearly have come from the United States and not from anyone else.
No, hÀn ei ole valinnut kuin mennÀ menemÀÀn. Olet nÀhnyt jo joitain raportteja, joissa Trump kertoo israelilaisen suomalaisen ministeriön, miksi hÀn on aina niin negatiivinen kaikkiin. TÀmÀ on menemÀ, menetÀ menemÀÀn. BB pitÀisi menetÀ menemÀÀn.
unless he can blame Hamas for refusing to implement. And Trump has certainly over the last 48 hours also publicly made statements that says, look, Hamas now has to actually go forward.
Trumpi antaa heille merkitystÀ, joka menee hyvin eteenpÀin, mitÀ muut amerikkalaiset presidentit tekevÀt Hamasin kanssa, koska hÀn haluaa ratkaisua. HÀn haluaa, ettÀ ratkaisu toimii, mutta jos Hamas ei implementoida nopeasti, niin BB tekee sitÀ, mitÀ hÀn tarvitsee, jotta hÀn pystyy tekemÀÀn sitÀ.
and then we're back to the status quo ante, with the exception of the constraints on Israel that I mentioned before, but they're not very big constraints. If the deal goes forward, he's going to have to accept it, and his wings will have been clipped, and he will need to be more careful with the American president than he was with Biden historically, and with other presidents historically, including, frankly, Trump,
First term and Obama and I mean, heck, even Bill Clinton. I mean, look, Bibi has a long record of dealing with American presidents and being very savvy in getting a lot more out of them than his leverage and his diplomatic throwaway to an economic importance would normally have presumed.
And again, it's not like Bibi has 60% approval ratings in Israel. He doesn't, not even close. But Israel is not a two-party system, it's a multi-party system. And he continues to have enough support to maintain a coalition with the far right. And he's given that coalition a lot. He has succeeded militarily in blowing up Hezbollah.
He have succeeded in taking out Hamas's military leadership. He's failed in taking out their political leadership. He has succeeded even in rolling back Iran's nuclear capabilities, something you and I have talked about extensively, by perhaps 18 to 24 months. It still looks like that is indeed what we talked about before. It looks like the best intelligence we have on that.
Ja samaan aikaan hÀn on tuotannut sÀÀntöjÀ Pohjois-Bankissa jatkuvasti, jatkuvasti ja jatkuvasti, jatkuvasti, jatkuvasti, jatkuvasti, jatkuvasti.
HÀn ei ole nyt vaikeassa positiivisessa. Yksi asiaa on se, ettÀ BB on lopulta lopulta liittynyt
to a religious fundamentalist extremist view of achieving a greater Israel, what the far Israeli right wants. And he's done that not because that's his long term perspective of what's best for the country, but because it's the only way that he personally can stay in power and avoid jail.