Ian Bremmer

The second thing I would say is,

you know, Scott, you were like, kind of, you tried to set the table, like, where are we?

What do we know now versus what we knew a week ago, two weeks ago, a month ago?

I would say the two big developments, I mean, Ian, what's going on with the Gulf states and their interest in what appears to be finishing this and not pausing and not leaving a wounded regime in place is a very interesting development.

The two others is, I think there was a consensus between

among analysts, among political players in the U.S.

and in the West from right to left, there was a consensus that Iran had nuclear ambitions before this war, had nuclear weapons ambitions before this war.

There was a consensus that Iran is behind a lot of bloodshed of Americans and others in the West, right?

No one disputed that, how we dealt with that, how we restrained them, how we deterred them.

That was...

open for debate, but whether or not Iran was responsible for the slaughtering of a lot of Americans, Americans in uniform, innocents was not disputed.

I do think there was not a consensus.

on Iran's non-nuclear military capabilities.

I think people said, oh, Iran is saying the range of their projectiles, their missiles, can't go farther than 2,000 kilometers.

That's what they've said.

And we just kind of got to stay on top of them and continue to reach, you know, JCPOA-like accommodations with them.

And they won't spring out of that.

And what we've learned in this war is they have been lying, like really lying.

And that is, I think it shouldn't be a surprise.

It's a surprise to many.