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Ian Dunning

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
301 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

There's got to be some sort of

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

forcing function where, you know, your margins go to zero as you keep investing more in compute.

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

Basically.

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

And we're not the only ones.

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

So in the end, can there be some Highlander type thing?

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

Like, what are we doing?

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

And this is like my scale.

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

And I guess the other thing I find interesting is, of course, the scale that everyone can see with the big labs and what they're doing with compute.

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

And it's like,

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

It looks awfully exponential to me.

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

We just had another model released today from Anthropic, and the spacing between them seems to be compressing.

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

I don't know.

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

I do sound delirious.

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

I sound feverish, and that's why it's so hard to... Literally everyone in this room probably is talking about this.

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

Everyone must feel a fever to some extent, yeah.

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

So, I mean, our primary use cases at Hudson River Trading are definitely kind of just like accelerating your own research.

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

So that can be coding, but it can also be coming up with experiment ideas, monitoring experiments.

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

We had a sort of a false start with AI, I would say, sometime last year with the Opus 4.0 models, especially from Anthropic.

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

where a cursory examination made us feel like, well, this is the moment we've crossed the dividing line.

Odd Lots
Inside Hudson River Trading's Blistering Token Burn

And we had a very feverish week where we felt the AGI and we left feeling empty because we realized that it was not there and was not able to meaningfully augment human researchers.