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Ian Lance

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
277 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

There you had what you might call a quality stock, but it was available at a really low valuation, which is just, that's your nirvana, isn't it?

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

I think the answer is no.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

One or two of them are starting to move down into interesting territory.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

So actually, a stock which was almost the post-child of sort of quality growth was Diageo.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

So we haven't owned Diageo.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

I don't think we've ever owned Diageo, actually.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

We initiated a position recently on Diageo.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

Why?

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

Because the earnings have come down.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

The dividend's been cut.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

You're now actually only paying 12 times lowered earnings.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

You've got a change of management with Dave Lewis coming in.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

So, you know, it's got the ingredients there for a business that could do relatively well.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

To be honest with you, we haven't gone sort of gangbusters on it.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

Why?

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

Because actually I think there are potentially some quite deep structural issues going on here.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

If you look at spirits volumes all around the world, spirits volumes are going down at the moment, actually.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

And it's, you know, there's a possibility that,

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

that this industry is no longer the growth industry that people once thought that just consumer tastes have been changing, people are consuming less alcohol.

Merryn Talks Money
Cheap, Unloved, Profitable: The Case for Value Investing Today?

For a new management team, if you're facing those sorts of structural issues, that's a big challenge.