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Ihor Kendiukhov

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
515 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

Suppose there are competent firefighters in your town.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

Fast, professional, well-equipped.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

they are expected to arrive in two to three minutes.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

In that situation, unless something very extraordinary happens, it would indeed be an act of great arrogance and even utter insanity to go into the fire yourself in the hope of rescuing someone or something.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

The most likely outcome would be that you would find yourself among those who need to be rescued.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

But the calculus changes drastically if the closest fire crew is three hours away and consists of drunk, unfit amateurs.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

Or consider a child living in a big, happy, smart family.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

Imagine this child suddenly decides that his family may run out of money to the point where they won't have enough to eat.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

All reassurances from his parents don't work.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

The child doesn't believe in his parents' ability to reason, he makes his own calculations, and he strongly believes he is right and they are wrong.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

He is dead set on fixing the situation by doing day trading.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

What is that if not going nuts?

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

Would those be wrong who ridicule this child and his complete mischaracterization of his own relative abilities?

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

Would it not be an act of benevolence to just stop the child, by any means necessary, from executing his deranged plan and bring him back to the care of his parents?

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

But now imagine that the child doesn't live in a big, happy, smart family.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

He is homeless in a town of other homeless children.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

There are some adults, like 20 of them, but all of them are occupied with preventing the nearby dam from breaking and flooding the town.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

This child doesn't sit and wait for adults to come and feed him, like a responsible, correctly estimating his own abilities, non-arrogant, well-behaved entity he is supposed to be in the eyes of people from an alternative reality where towns are populated by big hordes of smart, competent adults.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

He goes outside, makes some tools to catch birds, tools are dangerous, they may hurt him, and they are just a joke compared to professional hunting equipment, and then lights a fire to cook what he managed to capture, the fire may of course burn his fingers, and there are no safety protocols, it is just a fire in a semi-abandoned post-apocalyptic town, and overall that's not how experienced adults would do it.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
"My Most Costly Delusion" by Ihor Kendiukhov

Is he still an arrogant, inappropriate fool?

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