Ihor Kendiukhov

Except imagine that timeline without the extreme luck that happens to keep everyone alive.

Survival without dignity is a comedy in which everything goes wrong in unexpected ways and people muddle through regardless.

My concern is that the realistic scenario is the same comedy minus the happy ending.

Heading Why this might be useful

My goal in this post is rather to discuss the state of reality than what to do with that reality.

That said, I envision at least several immediate implications.

It could help to get rid of the sense of false security if powerful AGI is not there, we are at least existentially safe.

It could provide a more honest and at the same time sometimes more appealing basis for public communication about AI risk.

I welcome thinking about implications in more detail, as well as developing specific scenarios.

Note.

All of this is by no means an argument against singularity stuff Galaxy Brain ASI threats.

I believe they are super real and they are going to kill us if we survive until then.

This article was narrated by Type 3 Audio for Less Wrong.

In 1820, the Hungarian mathematician Farkas Boliai wrote a desperate letter to his son J. A. Knows, who had become consumed by the same problem that had haunted his father for decades.

Quote.

You must not attempt this approach to parallels.

I know this way to the very end.

I have traversed this bottomless night, which extinguished all light and joy in my life.

I entreat you, leave the science of parallels alone.

Learn from my example.