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Jacob Kremple

πŸ‘€ Speaker
462 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

So there were two freezes that happened in Florida this winter.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

That took 80% of the crop in Florida out completely.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

Blooms fell off.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

Vines died.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

It was not a great situation, right?

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

Over $150 million worth of tomatoes lost.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

Again, produce demand is rather inelastic.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

So you took...

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

A market that needed 100 tomatoes, and you took 26 out of the equation, and you're left with the 74 tomatoes that are left for 100, right?

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

And anytime that happens, that's where you see these spikes.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

So it's less about the input costs themselves.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

Got it.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

At this point, I would say a majority of it was weather-related.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

Now, the other thing is they're always going to grow a little bit more than what we need for the market, or their best guess.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

But it's a very segmented industry, so nobody knows exactly how much acreage everybody's putting in.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

The USDA does some projections.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

But in general, we did see Mexico decline their production a little bit this year, probably 3% to 4%.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

It doesn't sound like a lot, but when they're supplying 70% of the U.S.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

market in the winter, that was actually quite a bit.

Odd Lots
Why Tomatoes Are the Most Expensive They've Been in Four Decades

While that was because of the anti-dumping tariff that was put in place of 17% and change, it was implemented...