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James Manyika

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
887 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

But I'm just going to focus on one, which is job growth.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

So when we looked at job growth across those counties,

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

While at the national level, we're all celebrating the job growth that had happened coming out of the 2008 recession and over the last, you know, between 2008 and 2018 was the data set we looked at.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

First of all, it was at the national level, it was great.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

But when you looked at it at the county level, what you suddenly found is that a lot of that job growth was concentrated in places where roughly a third of the nation's workers live.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

The other two thirds of the places where people live either saw flat or no job growth or even continued job decline.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

So all of that is to say, you know, we also have to solve this question of how do we get more even job growth and wage growth across the country in the United States?

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

We've also done similar work.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

We've looked at these micro regions in Europe

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

And you see similar patterns, although maybe not quite as extreme as the US, but you see similar patterns where some places get a lot of the job and wage growth and some places get less of it.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

It's just a function of the structure of our economy.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

So we'd have to solve that too.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

And then the other thing we need to solve is the classic case of the hollowing out of the middle class.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

Because if you look at the pattern of, mostly driven by technology to some extent, the

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

A lot of the job declines or the jobs lost as a result of technology have primarily been in the middle wage, middle class jobs.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

And a lot of the job growth has been in the low wage jobs.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

So this question of the hollowing out of the middle class is actually a really particular problem, which has all kinds of

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

sociopolitical implications, by the way.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

But that's the other thing to figure out.

Future of Life Institute Podcast
James Manyika on Global Economic and Technological Trends

So let me stop there.