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Janatan Sayeh

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
160 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

And the monarchies tend to be more prosperous.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

I think there's an understanding in the Middle East that if you allow too much social freedom, the situation and the context would be abused and exploited by Islamist factions.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

That's what happened in Egypt when the Muslim Brotherhood took over because these groups are really good at organizing.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

So they look at Saudi Arabia, they look at UAE, they look at Jordan, and then they compare that to, let's say, Turkey, Iraq, or Lebanon.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

Turkey's technically a republic, but again, their inflation actually is comparable to the Islamic Republic that's been under sanctions for 50 years.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

So looking at that context, and given how legitimate inherently the monarchy is, I predict a form of a constitutional monarchy.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

There still has to be a parliament.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

There still needs to be checks and balances.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

I don't think Iranians want absolute one person dictating really the entire politics and foreign policy of the country.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

But his role would be pivotal to, one, ensure national stability.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

But at the same time, I think Iranians would like to still vote because this is something they've gotten used to throughout the last few years, to have checks and balances, campaigns, and political parties.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

So taking it case by case, of course, one is the role of religion.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

To the average Iranian, and having grown up there, this is something I experienced firsthand, is that religion is really forced on people in every part of day-to-day life, in school,

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

textbooks, when you watch TV, even the form of advertisements, the economy also has like Islamist angles, believe it or not.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

So the way that it's been forced so aggressively to people, we're seeing an opposite backlash.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

And the key thing here is that it has not worked.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

Now, had it been some sort of a totalitarian system that was able to deliver to an extent, for example, looking at the CCP in China, that would have been a different case.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

But the way they look at it is that these people come and justify what they do using Islam and it has not worked and it, of course, has caused tens of thousands of deaths.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

So because of that, they don't see it as viable.

Morning Wire
Will Iranians Seize the Moment? | 3.1.26

I'm not necessarily envisioning a scenario where the average Iranian would actively go and hunt down people that are