Janatan Sayeh
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
And the monarchies tend to be more prosperous.
I think there's an understanding in the Middle East that if you allow too much social freedom, the situation and the context would be abused and exploited by Islamist factions.
That's what happened in Egypt when the Muslim Brotherhood took over because these groups are really good at organizing.
So they look at Saudi Arabia, they look at UAE, they look at Jordan, and then they compare that to, let's say, Turkey, Iraq, or Lebanon.
Turkey's technically a republic, but again, their inflation actually is comparable to the Islamic Republic that's been under sanctions for 50 years.
So looking at that context, and given how legitimate inherently the monarchy is, I predict a form of a constitutional monarchy.
There still has to be a parliament.
There still needs to be checks and balances.
I don't think Iranians want absolute one person dictating really the entire politics and foreign policy of the country.
But his role would be pivotal to, one, ensure national stability.
But at the same time, I think Iranians would like to still vote because this is something they've gotten used to throughout the last few years, to have checks and balances, campaigns, and political parties.
So taking it case by case, of course, one is the role of religion.
To the average Iranian, and having grown up there, this is something I experienced firsthand, is that religion is really forced on people in every part of day-to-day life, in school,
textbooks, when you watch TV, even the form of advertisements, the economy also has like Islamist angles, believe it or not.
So the way that it's been forced so aggressively to people, we're seeing an opposite backlash.
And the key thing here is that it has not worked.
Now, had it been some sort of a totalitarian system that was able to deliver to an extent, for example, looking at the CCP in China, that would have been a different case.
But the way they look at it is that these people come and justify what they do using Islam and it has not worked and it, of course, has caused tens of thousands of deaths.
So because of that, they don't see it as viable.
I'm not necessarily envisioning a scenario where the average Iranian would actively go and hunt down people that are