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Jared Malsin

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
183 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

huge mall called the iran mall which is in northwest iran and is believed to be one of the largest shopping complexes in the world it has a hall of mirrors that is modeled after a persian imperial palace it has a car showroom it has movie theaters it has a library you know so it has like you know sports complexes it's sort of like a city within a city but here's the thing

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

You have this bank that's acting almost like a slush fund to fund this kind of garish shopping center that was a symbol of how these regime-connected elites are just moving this money around to enrich themselves.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

What one of the senior officials at the Iranian Central Bank said last year is that Ayande Bank was operating a Ponzi scheme.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

That is to say, they were loaning out more money than they could possibly repay.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

And that's what you have in a Ponzi scheme, where you have a bank that is giving out loans that it cannot repay, essentially, and playing a shell game by moving that money around.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

Money was leaving the country and Iranians themselves were taking their money out of the national currency, the rial.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

They're dumping the rial, they're putting it in gold, in dollars, in euros.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

One economist that I spoke to estimated that between 10 and 20 billion dollars in capital flight took place last year.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

And it triggered this currency crisis.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

The rial fell roughly 84% over the course of the year.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

So it just heaped more pressure on a system that was already under a lot of stress.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

It was bad.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

You know, when you have a currency that loses 84% of its value in one year, your ability to go buy groceries is going to collapse.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

I mean, one example that someone gave me is that the restaurants and shops, people had no idea how to put prices on their menus.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

Because when you have a currency that's declining every single day and every single hour, people don't even know how much to charge for things.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

It's cheaper not to even open your shop if you're just going to lose money on the energy and on the stocking your shelves and so on.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

The government, led by President Zelensky, introduced this budget at the end of December that was essentially going to remove subsidies on bread, for example, on gasoline, and it pointed to the fact that the government was out of money.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

When you're talking about cuts on subsidies to bread and gasoline, those are things that are going to really hit ordinary people hard.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

โ€” That was really the immediate trigger of these protests, because the government had to come out and say in numbers, OK, we have to cut back, we have no other choice.

The Journal.
The Bank Collapse Behind Iran's Protests

But it's sort of too little, too late.