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Jason Crawford

👤 Person
753 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

And not only did we have the science or the concept behind the germ theory, but we also had methods.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

Robert Koch gave us methods to test the water and count the bacteria and actually quantify something about the concentration of harmful bacteria in the water.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

And with that, we could start to actually do another round.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

So after the mid-1800s, in the late 1800s in Europe, and then early 20th century in America, we started to really clean up the water supply

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

This is a cartoon from 1919 representing, I forget what city exactly, I believe some American city that this is sort of representing progress in.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

So in 1890, you can see typhoid, which is a waterborne disease, reigned.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

Typhoid here is represented as sort of a skeleton monster with a cape and a top hat smoking a cigar or something like that.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

In the second panel, the water filtration plant comes along to start beating him up.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

And in 1906, the death rate was reduced.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

And then in the third panel, liquid chloride has been added to the water supply.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

And that's a chemical that is going to kill the bacteria in 1918.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

So this happened at different times in different cities.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

The association between the filtration and chlorination and the disease rates are quite dramatic.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

So again, we see...

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

Based on no theory, but on some empirical correlations or even on a wrong theory, some progress is able to be made.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

That progress plateaued at a certain level.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

And then a better scientific understanding came along and allowed us to go even further and to optimize the processes that we were doing.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

Okay, so science can provide concepts that point inventors in a promising direction, give them phenomena to exploit.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

It can also help optimize and expand the workings of existing inventions or systems.

Astral Codex Ten Podcast
[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation"

It can also guide the tinkering process itself.