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Jason Douglas

👤 Speaker
65 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

WSJ What’s News
TikTok USA Is Here to Stay

So, Sanae Takeuchi, the prime minister, called a snap election.

WSJ What’s News
TikTok USA Is Here to Stay

One of her first policy pledges was to waive consumption tax on food for a couple of years.

WSJ What’s News
TikTok USA Is Here to Stay

On the face of it, maybe not a huge deal, but it turns out this would cost something like $30 billion a year.

WSJ What’s News
TikTok USA Is Here to Stay

And she didn't really explain how she was going to pay for it.

WSJ What’s News
TikTok USA Is Here to Stay

The result of this was that yields of Japanese bonds spiked higher as their prices fell.

WSJ What’s News
TikTok USA Is Here to Stay

Pretty big, chunky moves that spooked a lot of people.

WSJ What’s News
TikTok USA Is Here to Stay

The reason this is important for global markets and what we saw actually after the Japanese yields moved higher was that yields on

WSJ What’s News
TikTok USA Is Here to Stay

Other bonds, including US Treasuries, also moved higher.

WSJ What’s News
TikTok USA Is Here to Stay

One of the reasons Japanese bonds are so important for global markets is that Japanese investors have a hell of a lot of money invested overseas.

WSJ What’s News
TikTok USA Is Here to Stay

And if you see yields spiking higher at home, that might tend to bring some of that money home.

WSJ What’s News
TikTok USA Is Here to Stay

And that has consequences then for all sorts of foreign assets, particularly bonds like US Treasuries, stocks, other things like that.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

That's right.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

So as you mentioned, the Bank of Japan rated its policy rate to 0.75% today.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

That doesn't sound like much, but that is actually the highest it has been in 30 years.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

So Japan has had very low rates for really a very long time, right?

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

So they had a big asset price bubble, everything burst.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

And since 1990, rates have been very low.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

The Japanese economy was

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

as everyone will remember, battling deflation for most of that time.

WSJ What’s News
EU Backs $105 Billion Ukraine Loan

But then, like lots of other economies since the pandemic, we started to see inflation in Japan.

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