Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Jason Hartman

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
950 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

But, you know, the real inflation rates probably double the consumer price index or at least 50% more at any point. Okay. If we just go, by the way, my example is just based on the CPI, which is understated, okay? So what was I saying there? So their payment and their balance got debased by inflation.

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

But, you know, the real inflation rates probably double the consumer price index or at least 50% more at any point. Okay. If we just go, by the way, my example is just based on the CPI, which is understated, okay? So what was I saying there? So their payment and their balance got debased by inflation.

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

The appreciation does not really make you rich because it only outperforms inflation by a little bit historically over time.

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

The appreciation does not really make you rich because it only outperforms inflation by a little bit historically over time.

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

Well, about 6%.

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

Well, about 6%.

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

Yeah, that's a good conservative number, right? And there will be times where it does way better. But those are the stories everybody remembers. Most of the time, if you just average it out, it's going to be about 6% is what we use. You use 5, okay?

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

Yeah, that's a good conservative number, right? And there will be times where it does way better. But those are the stories everybody remembers. Most of the time, if you just average it out, it's going to be about 6% is what we use. You use 5, okay?

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

So 6% would go with, so that million dollars in portfolio value of your real estate is worth $1,060,000 after the first year, and then it compounds on that. But that beats inflation only by a little bit. It's not going to make you rich. What makes you rich is leveraging the real estate because then you have a multiplier effect. So now let's assume you break even, right?

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

So 6% would go with, so that million dollars in portfolio value of your real estate is worth $1,060,000 after the first year, and then it compounds on that. But that beats inflation only by a little bit. It's not going to make you rich. What makes you rich is leveraging the real estate because then you have a multiplier effect. So now let's assume you break even, right?

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

And if you put 10% down, the 6% is now 60%. Okay? Because of leverage. But also there's that inflation-induced debt destruction nobody's calculating behind the scenes. That's right. Back to the example to finish it. So you're just paying over 1% interest when you thought you're paying 7.37% in the example. But guess what?

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

And if you put 10% down, the 6% is now 60%. Okay? Because of leverage. But also there's that inflation-induced debt destruction nobody's calculating behind the scenes. That's right. Back to the example to finish it. So you're just paying over 1% interest when you thought you're paying 7.37% in the example. But guess what?

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

There's one, but wait, there's more, as they say on the late night infomercial. The mortgage interest is tax deductible. That's right. So the government is actually paying part of it for us. So after inflation debases the interest rate and after tax benefits debase the interest rate, you're actually getting paid 1.16% to borrow the money.

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

There's one, but wait, there's more, as they say on the late night infomercial. The mortgage interest is tax deductible. That's right. So the government is actually paying part of it for us. So after inflation debases the interest rate and after tax benefits debase the interest rate, you're actually getting paid 1.16% to borrow the money.

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

Plus, the people got to live in the house for free for three decades. Wow. That's why people who own real estate are so much richer than people who don't because they can just run so much faster in the financial race. You literally get paid to borrow money. It's incredible.

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

Plus, the people got to live in the house for free for three decades. Wow. That's why people who own real estate are so much richer than people who don't because they can just run so much faster in the financial race. You literally get paid to borrow money. It's incredible.

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

Yeah, we'll rehash it. Sure.

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

Yeah, we'll rehash it. Sure.

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

It's 1972. Yeah. We borrow just over $14,000 to buy the median price house for $18,000. Okay. But 20% down. Yeah. We pay 7.37% interest when we sign the loan docs. In 1972, we take that all the way to the end of the loan. And we thought we were paying 7.37%. But after inflation, we were only paying just over 1%.

The Science of Flipping
Trump, Inflation, and the Future of Real Estate | Jason Hartman

It's 1972. Yeah. We borrow just over $14,000 to buy the median price house for $18,000. Okay. But 20% down. Yeah. We pay 7.37% interest when we sign the loan docs. In 1972, we take that all the way to the end of the loan. And we thought we were paying 7.37%. But after inflation, we were only paying just over 1%.