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Jay Novella

πŸ‘€ Speaker
1485 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

How many cardiovascular events were there?

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

And they found 1,233 cardiovascular events in these 17,000 plus people.

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

So that included mostly atrial fibrillations, 874 of them.

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

That was kind of the biggest thing.

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

But they also found 156 myocardial infarctions or heart attacks.

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

They found 111 heart failures and 92 stroke events in these 17,000 people over about roughly eight years.

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

So this is kind of all the data.

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

This is the data that they all, they correlated it into something like a cardiovascular risk map.

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

Steve and Kara, I'm curious if you've heard of this before.

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

They used something that piqued my interest.

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

They used Mendelian randomization.

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

The idea behind Mendelian randomization was that, as we know, nature randomly deals everyone a different set of genetic cards, right?

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

You have a genetic hand, right?

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

So some genetic markers that people have are associated with being more active or having higher fitness or just more fit, higher cardiorespiratory fitness.

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

If people dealt those cards also have a lower heart risk, that makes the fitness heart health connection look more causal, not just a lifestyle coincidence, right?

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

So they're correlating these markers and trying to show the connection between lower heart risk and greater fitness.

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

Because if they can show that the fitter you are, the better your heart health is, then that kind of makes it more of a causal relationship instead of just like,

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

Oh, it could be explained by other confounding factors.

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

I don't know if I'm describing this.

The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe
The Skeptics Guide #1090 - May 30 2026

Oh, yeah, absolutely.