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Jeff Guo

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
588 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

A lot more customers.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

And at the same time, the reinsurers, like the folks at Lloyd's, they were realizing, oh, no, this hurricane reinsurance is actually a really dangerous market to be in.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

But even with those higher prices, there still wasn't enough reinsurance to go around.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

By the late 90s, the whole insurance industry was facing this shortage of reinsurance.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

And this, this is the defining moment, not just for Karen, but for the whole insurance industry, because this is the moment when the catastrophe bond is born.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

A catastrophe bond is basically a way for insurance companies to sidestep the reinsurance industry, to get reinsurance not from reinsurance companies, but from a much broader pool of people, from investors.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

And here we should take a minute to explain how these catastrophe bonds or cat bonds actually work from the point of view of the investors.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

Basically, it's like making a loan to the insurance company.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

Investors might put up $200 million and the insurance company hangs on to that money for a couple of years.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

And in the meantime, pays the investors a bunch of interest.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

Then, after a couple years, the investors get their original $200 million back, plus all of that interest.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

So with cat bonds, the investors are taking on a major risk.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

They could lose all their money with one big catastrophe.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

This is where Karen's models come in.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

Her models made this market for cat bonds possible because they could show investors exactly what risks they were taking on.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

But for some investors, the weirdness of cat bonds, that was kind of their appeal.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

Back in the 2000s, Ethan Powell was a manager at a multi-billion dollar investment firm based in Dallas, Texas.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

And there's one big reason why investors like Ethan chase these kinds of alternative investments.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

In fact, it's a very traditional reason.

Planet Money
How hurricanes became a hot investment

The goal is diversification.