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Jeff Horing

πŸ‘€ Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
1174 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

Plus I've got R&D, plus I've got support, G&A.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

You're not going to make a lot of money.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

So those companies tend to be in the 10%, maybe, maybe squeak out 20% margin versus a 100% GDR company will have 50, 60% margins.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

If you just thought of multiples of cashflow translated to multiples of revenue, that's going to give you a big delta.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

So if I'm willing to pay 15 times cashflow for a given growth rate, that 20% margin business is three times revenues.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

A 50% margin business is seven and a half times revenue.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

I think the markets more or less eventually will look into that financial model and

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

Some companies, they're just super efficient in other ways.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

So you could still have some of those metrics that I just described being a little bit off, but still get yourself to ultimately you're trying to get the cashflow margins.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

That's all that matters is multiples of cashflow and then predictability of that cashflow in a recession.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

How good do you feel in whatever existential risk somebody could come in your model and disrupt it?

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

So those are just the framework that I think most public investors and late stage buyout guys are thinking.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

How resilient is that cashflow?

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

Are you running a core banking system for a bunch of banks?

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

That's not getting ripped out in a recession.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

You don't really care about a recession.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

What's the growth rate of that cashflow?

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

And then what's a reasonable multiple based on that?

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

And some of that'll be interest rate sensitive.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Jeff Horing - Building Insight Partners - [Invest Like the Best, EP.440]

And then obviously you have a different world once you start to get to 100% growth rates, of which there are very few public company data points, but that's when you start to see wonky multiples.