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Jeff Walton

👤 Speaker
893 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

At 30% below the 200-week moving average, what would our balance sheet look like today?

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

And I wanted to post that to you as like, let's look at downside and let's see what the balance sheet would look like.

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

Now, so thinking about our notional outstanding, $524 million notional outstanding, we've got $68 million annual interest obligation.

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

So at a price, at a Bitcoin price of $44,260,000,

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

which is 27.5% below the 200-week moving average, we would have 10 years of dividend coverage in the Bitcoin already on our balance sheet.

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

Okay, that's, forget the cash, forget the STRC.

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

So you think, okay, well, that seems pretty strong.

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

What does that look like relative to other credit instruments in the entire market?

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

Do other companies that are issuing debt or issuing debt capital

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

In a very volatile period like that, do they have 10 years worth of dividend coverage already on their balance sheet?

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

I don't know.

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

That's an interesting question.

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

I think it's good to compare the relativity there.

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

Now, there's also, there's two components when you think about downside risk and like structural bid.

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

You're looking at depth and duration.

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

So how long did it stay below the 200-week moving average?

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

And historically, the longest that Bitcoin was below its 200-week moving average was 35 days.

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

Okay, so that's interesting.

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

So it's rebounded relatively quickly.

Bankless
Bitcoin’s $300T Credit Market Opportunity | Jeff Walton

Okay, what's the structural difference between 2022 and that happened in today?