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John Arnold

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
791 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

By the end of this decade, I think we'll have taken some small steps there.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

But we're probably looking 10, 15 years to really have advanced nuclear be at any scale in the United States.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

And that's best case.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

It surprised me.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

In some ways, I thought that some of these technologies were almost uninvestable from the VC side because it's such a long duration to get to free cash flow business.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

I'm surprised at how much money.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

I think it's fantastic.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

This has to be a public-private partnership where the government is putting in real capital into these because I don't think they make sense as a standalone investment without public support.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

The timeframe to commercial deployment, the amount of money that has to be raised for it, the fact that you don't really know early on

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

whether you're making progress or not.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

There's a bunch of benchmarks to be overcome, but until you actually build one, you don't really know what your economics are gonna be, what your efficiency of the unit's gonna be.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

I worry that there's gonna be a falling out in the industry.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

There's probably too many

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

SMR companies, and it would be better if the industry can coalesce around three or four different technologies and focus the resources there.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

Solar has two trends.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

One is technology and manufacturing costs keep going down.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

Technology is improving.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

Manufacturing costs are going down.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

So the end product of a solar panel... Mostly in China.

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
John Arnold - China, Energy Markets and Fixing America's Systems - [Invest Like the Best, EP.461]

...keeps getting cheaper, mostly in China.