John J. Mearsheimer

So that takes you up to, let's say, 2024.

Fair.

And I remember I argued that the key weapon on the battlefield was artillery.

It was the king of battle.

And what really mattered was, in Ukraine this is, was the balance of artillery on the two sides.

And I paid hardly any attention to drones.

If I were writing about the balance of power between Ukraine and Russia now, artillery would get second place on the list of important weapons, and I think drones would be the most important weapon affecting events on the battlefield.

And so that's 2024.

Here we are in 2026.

So it's only recently that we've become aware—

that drones matter as much as they do.

And I would imagine that the US military is now scrambling like crazy to deal with the drone issue.

You would think so.

Yeah, so I think that it's explainable in rational legal terms why we did not pay that much attention to drones up until about 2024.

But I think we are now paying attention.

as is everybody else, because we understand, you know, that this really matters.

I think that basically you'll end up with something like a frozen conflict.

I think that you want to understand that what President Trump is trying to do here is he's trying to get a ceasefire, right?

And the idea is that if he can get a ceasefire for 30 or 60 days, the number changes.

that after you get this ceasefire in place, you can then move to negotiations on things like the nuclear issue, reparations, the future of the overall package of sanctions, and so forth and so on.