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John Mowrey

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
149 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

But I will say this.

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

Not a lot of folks realize this.

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

The Russell 2000 after today, that's the small cap index, it's up 5.5%.

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

The Russell mid-cap is up 5%.

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

And, you know, the 1,000 is down 80 basis points.

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

So...

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

Small and mid-cap stocks are up.

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

And it's like, why is that?

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

Why is that?

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

And I think there's two key reasons.

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

The first is that you've seen a rotation away from some of the MAG-7.

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

So that's a very crowded trade.

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

And you saw some compression there.

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

And I think you saw compression there because folks started to be worried about, hey, maybe...

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

Nvidia and what it's doing to the software space and how it's breaking into being able to code more cheaply, that could have pressure on the margins with some of these large tech companies.

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

That's one piece of it.

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

But then the other is these small and mid-cap companies, what the market is signaling to me is that there's relief coming for these companies.

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

And I think that is pointing to rates because those have the most debt.

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

the most sensitive to interest rates.

Prof G Markets
Markets Are Betting the Iran War Is Over โ€” Is it?

And the reason I think interest rates are so important, it's easy to say interest rates, it's all about interest rates.