Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing
22969 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And there's a narrative that the

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

The change in discussion around a SpaceX IPO is because previously SpaceX was very capital efficient, just it wasn't that expensive to develop.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And even though it sounds expensive, it's actually very capital efficient in how it runs.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Whereas now you're going to need more capital than just can be raised in the private markets.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Like if the private markets can accommodate raises of, as we've seen from the AI labs, tens of billions of dollars, but not beyond that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Is it that you'll just need more than tens of billions of dollars per year and that's why it's taken public?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

You know, there's a price to pay for these things.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Make some general statements for us about the depth of the capital markets between public and private markets.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

But isn't it also the case that things that tend to be very capital intensive, if you look at, say, real estate as a huge industry that raise a lot of money each year at an industry level, that tends to be debt financed because by the time you're deploying that much money, you actually have a pretty- You have a clear revenue stream.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Exactly, and a near-term return.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And you see this even with the data center build-outs, which are famously being financed by the private credit industry.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And so why not just debt finance?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Here's a very simple lens.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

We can categorize technologies and how hard they are.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And one categorization could be, look at things that China has not succeeded in doing.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And if you look at Chinese manufacturing, still behind on leading edge chips and still behind on...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

leading edge turbine engines and things like that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And so does the fact that China has not successfully replicated TSMC give you any pause about the difficulty?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Or you think that's not true for some reason?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So you think it's just the sanctions, essentially?