Jon Lee Anderson

Because he has no real power.

But I think for someone like Trump, you know, he's, well, as we know, he's rather simplistic.

So he thinks we got rid of Maduro and now it's mine.

Venezuela's mine.

If we get Diaz-Canel out of there, it'll look good because he's the top guy.

I think that the quagmire of the U.S.

in the Middle East, because of the Iran war right now, plays into the hands of the Cubans that are having to negotiate their survival or whatever with the Americans.

They have, you know, a few days of oil supplies left.

The Americans have been blockading them ever since they captured Maduro on the 3rd of January.

and not been allowing any other energy supplies to come into Cuba for the government's use.

So they're in the sort of 14th round, and it kind of gets the ropes here.

They have to figure out how to get the Americans to give them some fuel.

And of course, there's a front end, which is, you know, as we've heard through leaks, Marco Rubio basically wants an economic opening.

He's not going for

regime change, but a kind of Maduro-like thing where they find a Delci and its regime kind of succession, stabilization.

They don't want chaos in Cuba.

But the tail end of that, of any package they are going to try to force the Cubans to agree to, will include some kind of notional political succession or transformation.

The Cubans are very unlikely to agree to that because that would mean negotiating themselves out of existence.

And as people on an island, they have nowhere to go.

So