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Jon Quast

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3154 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Hidden Gem Stocks We Love at the End of the Year

I really do.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Hidden Gem Stocks We Love at the End of the Year

But Lululemon, to me, it has a really good balance between its growth rate and its valuation, maybe the most favorable balance between those two factors.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Hidden Gem Stocks We Love at the End of the Year

For me, it has the nod of the best stock today.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Hidden Gem Stocks We Love at the End of the Year

This is a shocking development for sure.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Don’t Call It a Comeback

It's a good question, Travis.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Don’t Call It a Comeback

Let's just start by saying that over the long-term, stock price is correlated with profits.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Don’t Call It a Comeback

Chipotle's profits are somewhat OK right now, but investors clearly believe that they're headed lower.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Don’t Call It a Comeback

That's why this stock has fallen as much as it has.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Don’t Call It a Comeback

I think there's some credence to the fear that Chipotle's profits could fall.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Don’t Call It a Comeback

There's a little trend emerging.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Don’t Call It a Comeback

If you look over the last three quarters, Chipotle has opened about 200 new locations.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Don’t Call It a Comeback

Average unit volumes have dropped about 3% over that time.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Don’t Call It a Comeback

That's actually pretty rare for Chipotle.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Don’t Call It a Comeback

Those average unit volumes, the sales per location per year, have gone up consistently over the last 20 years, let's say.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Don’t Call It a Comeback

Lower sales volume at a location is going to lead to lower profit margins.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Don’t Call It a Comeback

That's just how it works.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Don’t Call It a Comeback

Accordingly, the restaurant-level operating margin has fallen over the past year.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Don’t Call It a Comeback

Not a ton, it's still good, but it has dropped.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Don’t Call It a Comeback

You start looking at a company like Chipotle that has already scaled so much, almost 4,000 locations right now, it thinks that it can add 3,000 more.