Jonathan Herzog
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
So having been a precinct captain myself, what you saw was on the first alignment, so there's two alignments in the process, right?
People kind of gather and they self-organize into different clusters in the room, declaring who their favorite candidate is.
And then they have a certain 15% viability threshold to allocate the delegates.
the winnings of the state.
Now, after people lock in to who their first candidate is, people have the choice and the chance to realign, to say, well, oh, my candidate wasn't viable.
You know, let's say you supported Tom Steyer.
In our case, he wasn't viable.
So then his... God bless him.
So his handful of folks got to decide where they go to realign.
So you have the final count after the second round.
And what you saw is Pete Buttigieg had the most significant gains.
He was more people's second choice than almost anyone.
And so he may not have had the vast majority on the first round, but there were many, many people who said, I'm happy enough with Pete.
and so realigned to him in the second round, which was the final count.
But again, these are the sort of nitty-gritty of the politics of the night of a caucus, and really the kind of sausage is made in the weeks and months leading up to that with the press and with the debates and endorsements and so on.
So again, ultimately, you know, this, this didn't bear out in a, in a win in the primary process.
And so we're kind of seeing a whole reevaluation of the Iowa caucus as this decisive factor.
It really came into our consciousness because of,
Jimmy Carter sort of coming out of nowhere and being bolstered by it and also with Barack Obama And being able to prove to voters in later states in the process particularly voters of color that you can bring The Iowa voters around you so, you know in this case it ended up being that neither the winner of the Iowa caucus or
nor the New Hampshire primary, nor the Nevada caucus ended up becoming the presumptive nominee.