Jonathan Schanzer
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
And so that's all good. And then on top of that, you see the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria. And the Israelis also took out the air defenses of Iran back in late October. They've taken out the ballistic missile production facilities. There's really nothing left right now of that support structure that Hamas once had. That means that the Israelis have the upper hand.
And so that's all good. And then on top of that, you see the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria. And the Israelis also took out the air defenses of Iran back in late October. They've taken out the ballistic missile production facilities. There's really nothing left right now of that support structure that Hamas once had. That means that the Israelis have the upper hand.
And then on top of that, you got Donald Trump coming in saying, I want this war over before January 20th or there's going to be hell to pay. I think that's got everybody quaking in their boots. So I think right now momentum is shifting toward the end of the war. That's a good thing.
And then on top of that, you got Donald Trump coming in saying, I want this war over before January 20th or there's going to be hell to pay. I think that's got everybody quaking in their boots. So I think right now momentum is shifting toward the end of the war. That's a good thing.
And then on top of that, you got Donald Trump coming in saying, I want this war over before January 20th or there's going to be hell to pay. I think that's got everybody quaking in their boots. So I think right now momentum is shifting toward the end of the war. That's a good thing.
You're always going to have that moment where, you know, the guns fall silent and then they start to think about how they're going to do this again. I think there's a couple of things to watch. One is the Israelis are not leaving what's known as the Philadelphia corridor. This is the area between the Sinai Peninsula and the Gaza Strip.
You're always going to have that moment where, you know, the guns fall silent and then they start to think about how they're going to do this again. I think there's a couple of things to watch. One is the Israelis are not leaving what's known as the Philadelphia corridor. This is the area between the Sinai Peninsula and the Gaza Strip.
You're always going to have that moment where, you know, the guns fall silent and then they start to think about how they're going to do this again. I think there's a couple of things to watch. One is the Israelis are not leaving what's known as the Philadelphia corridor. This is the area between the Sinai Peninsula and the Gaza Strip.
The Israelis know that that's where the vast majority of the rearming and resupplying of Hamas, that's where it's all happened in recent years. I don't think there's any way you can get around that any longer. It's not coming by way of the Mediterranean. It's not coming over land from Israel. So it pretty much leaves Egypt.
The Israelis know that that's where the vast majority of the rearming and resupplying of Hamas, that's where it's all happened in recent years. I don't think there's any way you can get around that any longer. It's not coming by way of the Mediterranean. It's not coming over land from Israel. So it pretty much leaves Egypt.
The Israelis know that that's where the vast majority of the rearming and resupplying of Hamas, that's where it's all happened in recent years. I don't think there's any way you can get around that any longer. It's not coming by way of the Mediterranean. It's not coming over land from Israel. So it pretty much leaves Egypt.
So it's about a 20-mile corridor that the Israelis are going to maintain control over. That's going to prevent the rearming and resupply of Hamas.
So it's about a 20-mile corridor that the Israelis are going to maintain control over. That's going to prevent the rearming and resupply of Hamas.
So it's about a 20-mile corridor that the Israelis are going to maintain control over. That's going to prevent the rearming and resupply of Hamas.
On top of that, you're going to have, I think, because of what's been happening with the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria, you're not going to see the rearming of Hezbollah either unless Iran somehow makes a new deal with the Al-Qaeda rulers, the Turkish-backed Al-Qaeda rulers in Syria after the Assad regime.
On top of that, you're going to have, I think, because of what's been happening with the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria, you're not going to see the rearming of Hezbollah either unless Iran somehow makes a new deal with the Al-Qaeda rulers, the Turkish-backed Al-Qaeda rulers in Syria after the Assad regime.
On top of that, you're going to have, I think, because of what's been happening with the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria, you're not going to see the rearming of Hezbollah either unless Iran somehow makes a new deal with the Al-Qaeda rulers, the Turkish-backed Al-Qaeda rulers in Syria after the Assad regime.
All of those things would seem right now to indicate that the Iranian axis, as we knew it, does not have the capability to rearm the way they once did. And so I think we may see sort of a lull in this kind of activity. It doesn't mean that peace is going to break out. Let's just be clear here. But I do think that it may take a bit longer for these groups to rearm if they rearm at all.
All of those things would seem right now to indicate that the Iranian axis, as we knew it, does not have the capability to rearm the way they once did. And so I think we may see sort of a lull in this kind of activity. It doesn't mean that peace is going to break out. Let's just be clear here. But I do think that it may take a bit longer for these groups to rearm if they rearm at all.
All of those things would seem right now to indicate that the Iranian axis, as we knew it, does not have the capability to rearm the way they once did. And so I think we may see sort of a lull in this kind of activity. It doesn't mean that peace is going to break out. Let's just be clear here. But I do think that it may take a bit longer for these groups to rearm if they rearm at all.