Jonathan V. Last

Patterson, Harris plus 28, Sherrill plus 71.

It's hard to win a place by 71 points.

It's really hard.

I mean, when you just do the math on what that means.

But again, that is a 12 month swing.

Yeah.

That is not a like four years to now.

That is a 12 months ago to right now.

Well, and this also matches up with the polling, right?

And so this is one of the big questions we had going into Tuesday was, wow, the polling on two particular groups, 18 to 35 and Hispanic voters, has looked...

post-apocalyptic.

So we've seen in like almost like zombie apocalypse level collapses for Trump within both voters 18 to 35 and Hispanic voters over the last 10 months.

And some of the Hispanic polling suggested he had lost like 45 points with Hispanic voters, which seemed crazy, right?

Except that it shows up in a lot of surveys.

And this was the first test of, well, is it, can you see it in the wild as well?

And it turned out

Turns out you can.

And so that, I think, is a little bit of confirmation.

It's going to make polling 2026 really hard.

Right.