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Jonathan V. Last

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1937 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

Because polls are always modeled on the things that have happened reasonably close before them when there are big shifts happening, especially big shifts happening very quickly.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

It's hard for models to catch up with them.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

Yeah.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

It's one of the reasons why Cittarelli like really his polls were way out of whack with where he actually performed in Jersey.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

And it was because of Hispanic voters.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

The best he could hope for is that the Supreme Court overrules tariffs.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

He'll just declare victory.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

We're going to say, see, it worked.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

The tariffs worked.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

I got all the best deals.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

And then he sends everybody a check for $600 or something that he says, here is your big, beautiful tariff check.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

None of that will actually do anything to costs, really, because costs ain't coming down.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

Right.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

And the ICE thing, I mean, just think about they're in the process of hiring 10,000 people.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

Once you have committed those budgetary dollars to this and you're in the process of staffing up like that, will you have to keep doing the enforcement?

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

Because otherwise, what do you do with these bodies?

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

Right.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

And so I just don't see how they how they stop that.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

I mean, I assume something will involve New York City.

The Bulwark Podcast
Jonathan V. Last and Carol Leonnig: The Danger of a Weakened Bully

Yeah.