Jonathan V. Last

I mean, this is the question, right?

Is Trump committed to going forward?

We have three other data points in his attempts to saber rattle, right?

We have Greenland, Iran won, and Venezuela.

The difference between the two in which he went forward with his promised military action was that he moved assets to the area beforehand.

He didn't move any assets to like the North Sea, right?

He didn't put a carrier group off the coast of Greenland.

Right.

when he was pretending like he was going to invade it.

In the case of Venezuela and the first Iran strike, he put a bunch of assets there.

Like, that costs a lot of money.

It takes time.

I mean, once you go to that trouble, I feel like from his perspective, not going through with it

feels like backing down yeah i think he probably feels like he has to do it i i was pretty convinced you talked about this with michael weiss on friday the financial times sort of criminology of the iranian mullahs and like what their thinking is i found that reasonably compelling actually that they think

that their position will be stronger after a kinetic conflict than it is now.

But the other thing that suggests that he is interested in going forward is that he's already having members of his regime admit that there is an Iranian nuclear program.

And this is 30 weeks after declaring that the Iranian nuclear program was completely and totally obliterated.

That was the phrase.

You know, I remember some of us saying about the strike, like, okay, well, it seems to have set the nuclear program back.

And if there wasn't significant blowback from it, then, like, that's basically okay.