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Jose Najarro

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
327 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

Yeah, in general, I say return on equity, but return on invested capital is definitely the most important.

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

And it has to do with what I've been saying, right, that

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

the returns that you get from your internally generated reinvestments are the most important thing for compounding long term.

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

And so while one can say price to cash flow, price to earnings are super important, those only make sense in light of what your return on invested capital is.

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

Of course,

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

both from a price earnings perspective as return on invested capital's perspective, you can't just extrapolate what has been in the past to the future.

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

You have to understand the business, the opportunities.

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

We talked about Amazon and Alphabet, how we think the return on invested capital might shift over time to the negative.

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

And so you have to kind of take that into account.

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

But if there's one metric that I want to obsess about is what I think is going to happen to return on invested capital because as a long haul, long and by investor, if you get that right,

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

As long as you don't dramatically overpay, you should be fine over time.

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

And if you're able to underpay, then you'll just be handsomely rewarded if you have that combination.

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

That would be true.

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

Like again, right now, hyperscaler is not something we're interested in because of that reason.

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

So it does push us away from that.

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

And if other sectors are subject to kind of similar dynamics, then we would push away from those.

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

Other than that, we really do look everywhere.

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

The one thing I would say, though, is there are some sectors that are very resilient in their ability to reinvest capital.

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

And those sectors we tend to hold all the time, like insurance companies, right?

Stock Club
#310: Modern Value Investing w/ Jose Mayora

Like the ones that can underwrite insurance in a profitable manner, or at least not in a lost manner, making manner.