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Justin Wolfers

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1665 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

That's incredible.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

And I hope your audience understands and appreciates your mathematical acuity.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

So basically, the president has decided that he has made the world so much more dangerous that he needs to spend it over the next decade, an extra $50,000 per household.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

Yeah.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

By the way, if you spend $50,000 per household, you have to tax $50,000 per household.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

That is just accounting.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

So another way of saying this is the president is imposing a $50,000 tax hike because of this adventure.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

Now, I'm not going to go the next step and say that's bad or wrong.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

That's a question of personal judgment.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

If we were freeing 90 million people from a life of oppression...

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

It's a price that might be worth paying.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

Probably not if you're an America first guy, but you might be a humanitarian first guy.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

But this is the point of your question, Ed, and I think it's really significant.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

is if you believe the president about our future military needs, he's imposing very, very, very large, very meaningful costs on the American people.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

Right.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

So when the president declared war, the thing that was interesting, he said we're going to go in for four to six weeks.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

But 2027, 2028 and 2029 oil price futures all rose.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

Yeah.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

And actually last Friday when it looked like peace was about to break out, they fell quite substantially.

Prof G Markets
Iran War Will Cost Every Household $50,000

And so it looked like people really genuinely believed there was something good happening on Friday.