Karim Sadjadpour
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
And the last two decades of American history in the Middle East doesn't lend an enormous amount of confidence.
We invested a great deal of blood and treasure in Afghanistan and Iraq, and we weren't able to dictate the outcomes that we wanted.
So I believe ultimately, Scott, Iran's future is going to be decided by its people.
Now, I should say that
This is based purely on what I observe anecdotally.
I don't think there's any scientific polling on this, but it seems to me an overwhelming majority of people inside Iran who oppose the regime, and I would say it's probably around 80%, if not more, of society, would like to see outside help.
They actually would like to see President Trump make good on his promise.
President Trump promised on more than eight occasions that if you're on
kills protesters, that the United States would intervene.
It would have the backing, that America would have Iran's back, the backing of Iranian people.
And that changed people's risk calculations when they took to the streets because they thought, you know, the United States is going to support us.
And that support hasn't come.
And I think that's why overwhelmingly people in Iran want to see that support.
But
You know, one thing I'm always mindful of, Scott, you mentioned your days in the UC system.
I'm a University of Michigan guy.
And every year during March Madness, I fill out two brackets, one with Michigan winning it all and one with what I think might see happen.
And here it's, you know, we have to be mindful not to conflate our
our hopes and emotions and analysis that I think everyone would love to see, would love to see a magic bullet that just eliminates this regime and empowers an Iranian democracy, which once again becomes friends with the United States as it should be.
There's not a lot of great examples from history that there's such a clean operation that exists.