Karim Sadjadpour
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Well, I happen to agree with your instincts, Scott, that Iran is perhaps weaker than it's ever been.
It's essentially a government which is in between two fires, an internal fire and an external fire.
It's probably one of the loneliest countries in the world.
It has very, very few people.
And, you know, if we try to get inside the head of President Trump and you look at his 10-year history with Iran, well, on three major occasions, he's rolled the dice.
In 2018, he left Obama's nuclear deal with Iran.
In 2020, he assassinated Iran's top military commander, Qasem Soleimani.
And then last summer was Operation Midnight Hammer.
He dropped 14 bunker busters on Iran.
Now, on every single one of those decisions, people predicted that it would trigger World War III or, at the minimum, a major regional war.
That didn't happen on any of those occasions.
And I think President Trump
feels that he was vindicated each time.
And now, when Iran doesn't even control its own airspace, as you alluded to, their regional proxies have been decimated, I think he feels very confident that if he rolls the dice again, Iran is a paper tiger.
Ultimately, it's a regime whose paramount goal is to stay in power.
They're homicidal, but they're not suicidal.
And so for that reason, their willingness and ability to respond in a major way against the United States
is not likely to happen because they know if they were to unleash massive amounts of missile fire against America in the region or against our allies that it could trigger a massive U.S.
response.
And I agree with what you said, Scott, that 100% the United States is going to be coordinating this with Israel.