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Keith Rabois

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820 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

And that's where the bid to the equity market came from.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

So you would say, well, where does it go from here?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

The next chart, Nick, if you just give the second one is, look at how much money, and again, you can just look at the last five years, look at how much money is sitting in money market funds.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

And what this starts to show you is you have trillions and trillions of dollars of dry powder on the sidelines that will need to find a home.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

I think that Jerome Powell is in an increasingly untenuous situation.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

because he will be looked at as politicizing the office of the Federal Reserve.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

There is enough data that can justify cutting rates.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

If you cut rates, and we've talked about this before, two things will happen.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

Number one is people will take some amount of money out of the money market funds because they will want to go and seek superior returns somewhere else.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

it will increase the velocity of money at the same time.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

You put those two things together, that is a bid to the equity markets.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

And so if we're at an all-time high today with rates at 4.5% and Powell is back against the wall to cut,

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

The only road from here is probably up.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

And so you could see this thing get re-rated quite aggressively.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

And then the question is, do you do it where you manage your risk and you're short some stuff?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

Or do you just say, you know what, I'm just going to take it all up and take most of my shorts off and let the thing go?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

I think that if Powell starts an aggressive cutting program, either because he has to or because he's trying to keep his job,

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

I mean, man, you could see the S&P at 7,000.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

very quickly.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner

I mean, there are some members.