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Keith Rabois

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820 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

Careful.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

It is the best one yet.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

I mean, every year we have this.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

Before we start, Nick, can you please show Elon's tweet about how they did on the AGI benchmark?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

It's absolutely incredible.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

Two things.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

One is how quickly, starting in March of 2023, so we're talking about less than two and a half years, what this team has accomplished.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

and how far ahead they are of everybody else as demonstrated by this.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

But the second is a fundamental architectural decision that Elon made, which I think we didn't fully appreciate until now.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

And it maps to an architectural decision he made at Tesla as well.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

And for all we know, we'll figure out that he made an equivalent decision at SpaceX.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

And that decision is really well encapsulated by this essay, The Bitter Lesson, by Rich Sutton.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

And Nick, you can just throw this up here.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

But just to summarize what this says, it basically says in a nutshell that you're always better off when you're trying to solve an AI problem, taking a general learning approach that can scale with computation, because it ultimately proves to be the most effective.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

And the alternative would be something that's much more human labored and human involved that requires human knowledge.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

And so the first method, what it essentially allows you to do is view any problem as an endless scalable search or learning task.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

And as it's turned out, whether it's chess or Go or speech recognition or computer vision, whenever there was two competing approaches, one that used general computation and one that used human knowledge, the general computation problem always won.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

And so it creates this bitter lesson for humans that want to think that we are at the center of all of this critical learning and all of these leaps.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

In more AI-specific language, what it means is that a lot of these systems create these embeddings that are just not understandable by humans at all, but it yields incredible results.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon’s Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs

So why is this crazy?